让您的进攻发挥一点防守作用

Published: 30/06/2023


Investor Knowledge +  5 Minutes = Current Insights

With a notable surge in market uncertainty and signs of slowing global growth, some investors may be questioning whether now may be a good time to reduce risk in their portfolio. Let's be honest - no investor wants to lose money. So, what strategies can we put in place to help protect our capital?

One option of course may be to go to cash. However, if you sell your investments and reallocate to cash, you cement any losses you may currently have while leaving yourself out of a potential recovery. A second (and much more balanced option) may be to play some defense within your equity allocation. This can be achieved by investing a portion in low volatility equity Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) that are designed to help reduce volatility while staying invested.

What is low volatility investing?

Low volatility investing seeks to capitalize on a fundamental mispricing of risk in equity markets. It involves choosing and including a diversified selection of stocks based on the risk level that the stock contributes to the portfolio as a whole; based on the empirical evidence that the least volatile group of stocks would produce equal to or better returns than the broad market over longer periods, most of the time1.

In other words, riskier stocks (think growth stocks) tend not to deliver higher returns than less risky stocks (utilities, consumer staples for instance) over many years. This is commonly referred to as the 'low volatility anomaly' as it runs counterintuitive to the traditional thinking about risk and return and is what low volatility investing is all about.

So, why take on additional risk if it is seldom rewarded?

Higher volatility equities have not generated higher returns than less volatile equities over the long run. By delivering returns competitive with equity markets, low volatility investing allows investors to increase their exposure to equities and reduce the drag of bonds in their portfolios, yielding a similar risk profile to a traditional balanced portfolio of stocks and bonds yet with a greater return potential.

The reality is that risk has not been rewarded over full market cycles. In fact, in falling markets, less volatile equities tend to outperform their more volatile counterparts. Plus, is it ever really a bad time to reduce portfolio risk? In short, low volatility investing can help lead to less 'investment statement shock', while helping you stay the course by staying invested.

What might investors expect from TD Low Volatility ETFs?

Investors may expect equity market returns with less risk. Historically, these strategies have produced better risk-adjusted returns-over a full cycle of course, as there will be periods of underperformance and outperformance. Low volatility investing can dampen both the highs and the lows of returns, which means less severe ups and downs relative to the broad market. Within portfolios, this tends to mean overweight positions in utilities, communication services, consumer staples, health care, utilities and underweight positions in technology, consumer discretionary and energy.

Investors can use TD Low Volatility ETFs to help dampen overall portfolio volatility across geographical locations. TD Q Canadian Low Volatility ETF (TCLV) for Canadian equity exposure, TD Q U.S. Low Volatility ETF (TULV) for U.S. equity exposure and TD Q International Low Volatility ETF (TILV) for international equity exposure.

Extra defense doesn’t mean zero risk.

Let's be clear, low volatility ETFs don't eliminate investment risk altogether or prevent losses during a market downturn, but they can help protect against drawdowns. Volatility can erode returns. Remember, a loss of 50% means that one needs a 100% return to get back to even. Less downside helps one recoup losses more quickly. So, don't overlook low volatility investing, especially when it can help you rest easy at night.

1Bodjov, Yuriy and Lempriere, Isaac (2015), A Review of the Historical Return-Volatility Relationship, TD Asset Management Inc. The information contained herein has been provided by TD Asset Management Inc. and is for information purposes only.信息出自我们认为可靠的来源。本信息并未提供财务、法律、税务或投资建议。具体的投资、税款或交易策略应根据每位投资者的目标和风险承受能力加以评估。

Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds (ETFs). Please read the prospectus and ETF Facts before investing. ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. ETF units are bought and sold at market price on a stock exchange and brokerage commissions will reduce returns..

本文档中的部分陈述可能包含预测性的前瞻性陈述(“FLS”),其中包含“预计”、“预期”、“打算”、“认为”、“估计”和类似的前瞻性表述或其否定形式。前瞻性陈述基于当前对未来普遍的经济、政治、相关市场因素(例如利率和汇率、股票和资本市场)以及普遍经营环境的预计和预测,并假定不发生税法或其他法律或政府管制方面的任何变动或灾难事件。对于未来事件的预计和预测本身受无法预见的风险和不确定性的影响。此等预计和预测可能在未来并不准确。前瞻性陈述并非对未来表现的保证。实际发生的事件可能与前瞻性陈述明示或暗示的事件存在实质差异。包括上文所述各项因素在内的多个重要因素均可能造成这种背离。您不应在任何程度上依赖于前瞻性陈述。

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